Live-window validation.
Every Kick live multiplier is computed in shadow for 14 days before the public flip. Nothing is applied to real scores yet. The dashboard flags partners whose p95 drift exceeds 90 seconds and recommends capping them at 1.25x until sync is fixed.
All partners within SLA. Shadow clean.
Window: 2026-03-24 through 2026-04-23. p95 worst partner: 87s. Projected disputes across all partners: 305.
Per-partner drift
Sorted by p95 drift descending. Breaches cap to 1.25x automatically.
| Partner | Events | Live | Edge | p50 | p95 | p99 | Max | SLA | Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LUCK CSGOLuck | 420 | 27 | 13 | 50s | 87s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
PD Packdraw | 1,383 | 84 | 57 | 49s | 86s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
ROLL CSGORoll | 1,356 | 79 | 62 | 46s | 86s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
DADDY DaddySkins | 407 | 30 | 17 | 48s | 86s | 88s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
DIA CSGODiamonds | 879 | 74 | 58 | 48s | 86s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
GOAT Goated | 5,851 | 439 | 297 | 47s | 86s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
GMB Gamba | 1,225 | 69 | 34 | 48s | 86s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
WHL Whale.io | 2,093 | 121 | 78 | 48s | 86s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
GEM CSGOGem | 1,509 | 97 | 66 | 45s | 85s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
DROP CSDrop | 654 | 51 | 38 | 46s | 85s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
SPA Spartans | 1,263 | 64 | 43 | 47s | 85s | 89s | 90s | Warn | 1.50x |
Recent edge-case events
Wagers whose Kick state at partner timestamp vs received timestamp disagree, or within 60s of a boundary. Each one would evaluate favourably under the 60s tolerance rule.
Public-flip gate
- Window contains at least 100 wager events
- Zero partner SLA breaches (p95 <= 90s)
- Projected disputes under 15 across window
- Rules subpage updated with live-window clause
- Partner contract addendum signed (timestamp SLA)
When every gate is green for 14 consecutive days, flip the multiplier public on /leaderboard. Hold the flip if the whale cohort WAW has dropped more than 10 percent from baseline (master-plan §16 week 11).