Zen Black
Whale cohort monitor.
Top 30 by 30-day wager, read from the live event stream. $12,000 monthly budget. Emergency alert fires if WAW drops more than 10 percent week-on-week.
Cohort WAW
23%-69.6%
Contacted 14d
12 / 30
Grandfathered
10 / 30
Discord 24h
28 msgs
Emergency alert active
WAW down 69.6% week-on-week.
Hold the live-window public flip. Begin emergency Zen Black outreach.
Sensitivity scenarios
Master-plan §6.2 stress-test.
| Scenario | Description | Whales lost | Revenue impact | Net vs base | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best case | No whales churn. Full retention uplift reaches the public tier players. | 0 | - | +$14,000/mo | 25% |
Expected | One super-whale plus one whale churn silently over 60 days. Uplift covers half. | 2 | $7,800 loss | +$6,200/mo | 45% |
Stress | Five whales churn. Redesign destroys value on net; Zen Black prevents worse. | 5 | $17,300 loss | $3,300/mo | 20% |
Zen Black roster
Ranked by 30-day wager from the live events table.
| # | Handle | Primary partner | 30d wager | 7d | Slope | Last seen | Contact | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | spartans:2026-04-07_al_1 low |  | $530,432 | $0 | 0.00x | 7d ago | Overdue (20d) |
This week's cadence
Monday standup + dashboard review
Tuesday DM outreach (5 members minimum)
Wednesday partner touch-base call
Thursday community Q&A office hours
Friday RG / audit compliance review
100% cohort contacted in last 14d (12/30)
